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PUBLICATION
This publication presents monthly information on sales of new motor vehicles in each state/territory in original, seasonally adjusted and trend estimated terms. The original data are sourced from the Federal Chamber of Automotive Industries. Sales data are available for passenger vehicles, sports utility vehicles (SUVs), other vehicles and total vehicles at the state/territory and national levels.
CHANGES IN THIS ISSUE
From the August 2004 reference month, SUVs are separately identified in the original, seasonally adjusted and trend estimates. Data on SUVs have been included as a separate category back to January 1994 and are available in Sales of New Motor Vehicles, Electronic Delivery (cat. no. 9314.0.55.001). Previous to this, SUVs were included in the other vehicles category.
AUGUST 2004 KEY POINTS
Trend
The trend estimate for sales of new motor vehicles fell slightly to 78,510 in August 2004 compared with July 2004 (78,548). When compared with August 2003 (78,683) the trend estimate has shown a decrease of 0.2%.
Sales of new passenger vehicles recorded a trend decrease for the fourth consecutive month, declining 0.4% for August 2004. Sports utility vehicle sales increased 1.8%, continuing the increasing trend since September 2003. Sales of other new vehicles decreased 0.6% in August 2004.
Queensland, South Australia, Western Australia, and Tasmania recorded increases in the trend estimate for sales of new motor vehicles in August 2004. All other states and territories recorded decreases.
Seasonally adjusted
The seasonally adjusted estimate for sales of new motor vehicles rose 0.8% to 78,469 in August 2004. Passenger vehicle sales increased 1.3% to 47,872 and sales of sports utility vehicles increased 2.2% to 15,016. Sales of other new vehicles decreased 2.2% to 15,581 in August 2004.
NOTES
FORTHCOMING ISSUES
ISSUE | RELEASE DATE | |
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September 2004 | 21 October 2004 | |
October 2004 | 19 November 2004 | |
November 2004 | 21 December 2004 | |
December 2004 | 20 January 2005 | |
January 2005
February 2005 | 21 February 2005
22 March 2005 | |
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TREND REVISIONS
Trend estimates are likely to be revised when new seasonally adjusted estimates become available. For further information see Explanatory Notes 9 and 10.
The graph below presents the effect of two possible scenarios on the previous trend estimates.
1 | The September 2004 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is higher than the August 2004 seasonally adjusted estimate by 4.0%. |
2 | The September 2004 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is lower than the August 2004 seasonally adjusted estimate by 4.0%. |
The percentage change of 4.0% was chosen because the average absolute percentage change over the last 9 years has been 4.0%.
SUMMARY - TREND AND SEASONAL ANALYSIS
Table 1: New Motor Vehicle Sales
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| | Passenger vehicles (No.) | Sports utility vehicles (No.) | Other vehicles (No.) | Total vehicles (No.) | Change passenger vehicles (%) | Change sports utility vehicles (%) | Change other vehicles (%) | Change total vehicles (%) |
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Original |
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2003 | June | 57,086 | 15,601 | 19,371 | 92,058 | 15.0 | 15.2 | 28.5 | 17.6 |
| July | 51,450 | 13,102 | 14,969 | 79,521 | -9.9 | -16.0 | -22.7 | -13.6 |
| August | 49,869 | 12,181 | 14,123 | 76,173 | -3.1 | -7.0 | -5.7 | -4.2 |
| September | 51,749 | 11,590 | 14,452 | 77,791 | 3.8 | -4.9 | 2.3 | 2.1 |
| October | 52,180 | 12,318 | 14,727 | 79,225 | 0.8 | 6.3 | 1.9 | 1.8 |
| November | 48,482 | 12,892 | 14,738 | 76,112 | -7.1 | 4.7 | 0.1 | -3.9 |
| December | 49,834 | 13,296 | 14,656 | 77,786 | 2.8 | 3.1 | -0.6 | 2.2 |
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2004 | January | 40,715 | 12,291 | 11,791 | 64,797 | -18.3 | -7.6 | -19.5 | -16.7 |
| February | 47,876 | 12,865 | 15,136 | 75,877 | 17.6 | 4.7 | 28.4 | 17.1 |
| March | 53,728 | 15,005 | 17,313 | 86,046 | 12.2 | 16.6 | 14.4 | 13.4 |
| April | 44,079 | 12,351 | 14,875 | 71,305 | -18.0 | -17.7 | -14.1 | -17.1 |
| May | 46,168 | 15,052 | 17,059 | 78,279 | 4.7 | 21.9 | 14.7 | 9.8 |
| June | 58,284 | 17,981 | 20,947 | 97,212 | 26.2 | 19.5 | 22.8 | 24.2 |
| July | 46,724 | 14,442 | 15,869 | 77,035 | -19.8 | -19.7 | -24.2 | -20.8 |
| August | 48,649 | 14,910 | 15,685 | 79,244 | 4.1 | 3.2 | -1.2 | 2.9 |
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Seasonally Adjusted |
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2003 | June | 50,082 | 13,139 | 14,162 | 77,383 | -0.1 | 3.0 | 3.1 | 1.0 |
| July | 50,010 | 12,582 | 14,894 | 77,486 | -0.1 | -4.2 | 5.2 | 0.1 |
| August | 50,995 | 12,739 | 14,542 | 78,276 | 2.0 | 1.2 | -2.4 | 1.0 |
| September | 53,191 | 12,679 | 14,994 | 80,864 | 4.3 | -0.5 | 3.1 | 3.3 |
| October | 49,311 | 12,680 | 15,150 | 77,141 | -7.3 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -4.6 |
| November | 48,372 | 13,126 | 14,906 | 76,404 | -1.9 | 3.5 | -1.6 | -1.0 |
| December | 46,157 | 13,118 | 14,884 | 74,159 | -4.6 | -0.1 | -0.1 | -2.9 |
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2004 | January | 49,609 | 13,941 | 15,665 | 79,215 | 7.5 | 6.3 | 5.2 | 6.8 |
| February | 50,055 | 13,299 | 16,027 | 79,381 | 0.9 | -4.6 | 2.3 | 0.2 |
| March | 49,198 | 13,468 | 16,348 | 79,014 | -1.7 | 1.3 | 2.0 | -0.5 |
| April | 48,133 | 13,266 | 15,939 | 77,338 | -2.2 | -1.5 | -2.5 | -2.1 |
| May | 48,031 | 14,550 | 16,190 | 78,771 | -0.2 | 9.7 | 1.6 | 1.9 |
| June | 49,904 | 14,579 | 15,389 | 79,872 | 3.9 | 0.2 | -4.9 | 1.4 |
| July | 47,252 | 14,692 | 15,932 | 77,876 | -5.3 | 0.8 | 3.5 | -2.5 |
| August | 47,872 | 15,016 | 15,581 | 78,469 | 1.3 | 2.2 | -2.2 | 0.8 |
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Trend |
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2003 | June | 50,408 | 12,761 | 14,262 | 77,431 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.6 |
| July | 51,026 | 12,775 | 14,516 | 78,317 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 1.1 |
| August | 51,209 | 12,757 | 14,717 | 78,683 | 0.4 | -0.1 | 1.4 | 0.5 |
| September | 50,934 | 12,764 | 14,845 | 78,543 | -0.5 | 0.1 | 0.9 | -0.2 |
| October | 50,373 | 12,865 | 14,968 | 78,206 | -1.1 | 0.8 | 0.8 | -0.4 |
| November | 49,718 | 13,019 | 15,118 | 77,855 | -1.3 | 1.2 | 1.0 | -0.4 |
| December | 49,115 | 13,183 | 15,335 | 77,633 | -1.2 | 1.3 | 1.4 | -0.3 |
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2004 | January | 48,755 | 13,331 | 15,598 | 77,684 | -0.7 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 0.1 |
| February | 48,689 | 13,468 | 15,843 | 78,000 | -0.1 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| March | 48,815 | 13,635 | 15,996 | 78,446 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| April | 48,860 | 13,851 | 16,030 | 78,741 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| May | 48,664 | 14,128 | 15,965 | 78,757 | -0.4 | 2.0 | -0.4 | 0.0 |
| June | 48,382 | 14,425 | 15,859 | 78,666 | -0.6 | 2.1 | -0.7 | -0.1 |
| July | 48,101 | 14,699 | 15,748 | 78,548 | -0.6 | 1.9 | -0.7 | -0.2 |
| August | 47,894 | 14,966 | 15,650 | 78,510 | -0.4 | 1.8 | -0.6 | -0.0 |
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Table 2: New Motor Vehicle Sales by State/Territory of Registration
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| | NSW (No.) | Vic. (No.) | Qld (No.) | SA (No.) | WA (No.) | Tas. (No.) | NT (No.) | ACT (No.) | Aust. (No.) |
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Original |
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2003 | June | 31,168 | 24,132 | 18,084 | 6,089 | 8,662 | 1,549 | 866 | 1,508 | 92,058 |
| July | 26,983 | 21,248 | 15,716 | 5,298 | 6,973 | 1,407 | 635 | 1,261 | 79,521 |
| August | 25,391 | 19,799 | 15,248 | 5,263 | 7,048 | 1,589 | 555 | 1,280 | 76,173 |
| September | 25,738 | 21,200 | 15,293 | 5,222 | 6,894 | 1,639 | 593 | 1,212 | 77,791 |
| October | 25,533 | 21,337 | 15,521 | 5,430 | 7,487 | 2,008 | 607 | 1,302 | 79,225 |
| November | 25,099 | 20,254 | 15,058 | 5,214 | 6,925 | 1,717 | 630 | 1,215 | 76,112 |
| December | 25,113 | 21,071 | 15,265 | 5,404 | 7,161 | 1,860 | 593 | 1,319 | 77,786 |
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2004 | January | 21,216 | 16,857 | 13,403 | 4,334 | 6,249 | 1,193 | 498 | 1,047 | 64,797 |
| February | 24,955 | 19,727 | 15,901 | 5,059 | 7,113 | 1,297 | 686 | 1,139 | 75,877 |
| March | 28,118 | 22,137 | 18,611 | 5,561 | 8,086 | 1,343 | 912 | 1,278 | 86,046 |
| April | 23,033 | 19,083 | 14,831 | 4,670 | 6,529 | 1,229 | 812 | 1,118 | 71,305 |
| May | 25,649 | 20,106 | 16,373 | 5,215 | 7,296 | 1,513 | 918 | 1,209 | 78,279 |
| June | 31,438 | 23,929 | 22,026 | 6,436 | 8,969 | 1,982 | 958 | 1,474 | 97,212 |
| July | 25,031 | 19,410 | 17,141 | 4,949 | 7,228 | 1,449 | 646 | 1,181 | 77,035 |
| August | 24,795 | 20,850 | 17,269 | 5,414 | 7,513 | 1,585 | 677 | 1,141 | 79,244 |
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Seasonally Adjusted |
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2003 | June | 25,958 | 20,788 | 14,904 | 5,085 | 7,220 | 1,482 | 662 | 1,284 | 77,383 |
| July | 25,771 | 20,754 | 15,171 | 5,245 | 7,167 | 1,498 | 642 | 1,238 | 77,486 |
| August | 26,272 | 20,462 | 15,560 | 5,305 | 7,198 | 1,564 | 599 | 1,316 | 78,276 |
| September | 27,370 | 21,323 | 15,890 | 5,410 | 7,298 | 1,595 | 688 | 1,290 | 80,864 |
| October | 24,736 | 20,324 | 15,667 | 5,332 | 7,213 | 1,986 | 623 | 1,260 | 77,141 |
| November | 24,636 | 20,356 | 15,528 | 5,278 | 7,105 | 1,633 | 645 | 1,223 | 76,404 |
| December | 24,352 | 20,010 | 14,612 | 5,114 | 6,942 | 1,251 | 636 | 1,242 | 74,159 |
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2004 | January | 26,126 | 20,822 | 16,272 | 5,368 | 7,234 | 1,529 | 643 | 1,221 | 79,215 |
| February | 26,315 | 20,710 | 16,437 | 5,215 | 7,208 | 1,537 | 752 | 1,207 | 79,381 |
| March | 25,759 | 20,508 | 16,795 | 5,170 | 7,366 | 1,405 | 807 | 1,204 | 79,014 |
| April | 25,155 | 20,386 | 16,193 | 5,107 | 7,061 | 1,474 | 758 | 1,204 | 77,338 |
| May | 25,360 | 20,364 | 16,751 | 5,204 | 7,572 | 1,537 | 779 | 1,204 | 78,771 |
| June | 25,543 | 20,364 | 17,629 | 5,335 | 7,200 | 1,851 | 737 | 1,213 | 79,872 |
| July | 25,188 | 19,595 | 17,092 | 4,997 | 7,580 | 1,556 | 662 | 1,206 | 77,876 |
| August | 24,739 | 20,477 | 17,003 | 5,268 | 7,589 | 1,544 | 726 | 1,123 | 78,469 |
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Trend |
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2003 | June | 26,017 | 20,659 | 15,081 | 5,182 | 7,067 | 1,484 | 659 | 1,282 | 77,431 |
| July | 26,286 | 20,818 | 15,320 | 5,236 | 7,173 | 1,547 | 649 | 1,288 | 78,317 |
| August | 26,322 | 20,869 | 15,457 | 5,285 | 7,225 | 1,597 | 639 | 1,289 | 78,683 |
| September | 26,155 | 20,824 | 15,497 | 5,313 | 7,216 | 1,623 | 632 | 1,283 | 78,543 |
| October | 25,918 | 20,741 | 15,522 | 5,318 | 7,182 | 1,620 | 632 | 1,273 | 78,206 |
| November | 25,698 | 20,652 | 15,574 | 5,300 | 7,146 | 1,585 | 642 | 1,258 | 77,855 |
| December | 25,547 | 20,580 | 15,677 | 5,263 | 7,136 | 1,528 | 663 | 1,239 | 77,633 |
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2004 | January | 25,503 | 20,543 | 15,862 | 5,231 | 7,151 | 1,478 | 694 | 1,222 | 77,684 |
| February | 25,556 | 20,517 | 16,138 | 5,208 | 7,184 | 1,459 | 727 | 1,211 | 78,000 |
| March | 25,635 | 20,487 | 16,448 | 5,196 | 7,236 | 1,483 | 752 | 1,209 | 78,446 |
| April | 25,613 | 20,430 | 16,716 | 5,189 | 7,296 | 1,531 | 760 | 1,206 | 78,741 |
| May | 25,455 | 20,326 | 16,903 | 5,184 | 7,355 | 1,577 | 755 | 1,202 | 78,757 |
| June | 25,271 | 20,223 | 17,039 | 5,181 | 7,413 | 1,605 | 740 | 1,194 | 78,666 |
| July | 25,098 | 20,140 | 17,132 | 5,179 | 7,472 | 1,619 | 725 | 1,183 | 78,548 |
| August | 24,969 | 20,099 | 17,211 | 5,189 | 7,531 | 1,630 | 707 | 1,174 | 78,510 |
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